
919 
FNUS54 KMRX 102003
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A COLD FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED
STRONG WIND FIELD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. A LINE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FRONT BY 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STORMS BECOMING SEVERE WITH DAMAGING 
WINDS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    63-68 (0)    36-41        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+15)  48-53 (+3)   77-82        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G32                  W 17 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW 21 G39    SW 20 G39    W 15 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.09         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 41                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         65                        57           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   35-40        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+17)  47-52 (+3)   76-81        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G33                  W 16 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     SW 20 G40    W 20 G40     W 16 G32     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.35         0.11         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     W 37         
DISPERSION                         41                        42           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    63-68 (+2)   35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+16)  45-50 (0)    77-82        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G41                  W 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G24     SW 23 G46    W 18 G44     NW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.64         0.05         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 52                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         46                        26           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    66-71 (+3)   37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+15)  44-49 (+1)   76-81        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G41                  NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G25     SW 23 G43    W 14 G36     NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.67         0.01         0.00         
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 48                      NW 22        
DISPERSION                         75                        37           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    66-71 (+3)   36-41        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+18)  44-49 (+1)   77-82        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G33                  NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW 18 G35    W 13 G30     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.66         0.04         0.00         
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 45                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         63                        42           
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   66-71 (+1)   36-41        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 46-51 (+2)   76-81        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G24                  W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW 16 G31    SW 16 G31    W 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.43         0.07         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 40                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         83                        66           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   66-71 (+1)   37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+17)  45-50 (+2)   76-81        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G34                  W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 20 G38    SW 15 G34    W  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.62         0.01         0.00         
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 49                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         108                       57           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 /203 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   67-72 (+2)   38-43        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+15)  45-50 (+1)   76-81        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G41                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SW 22 G43    W 13 G32     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.55         0.01         0.00         
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 47                      NW 22        
DISPERSION                         108                       54           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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