
176 
FNUS54 KMRX 100916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY BUT ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...BUT THEN STALL OUT NEAR THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. THIS FRONT 
WILL HELP TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT AROUND THE 
PLATEAU AND ITS GENERAL VICINITY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 
THEN BRING A COLD FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED STRONG WIND FIELD ACROSS 
THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT BY 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDESPREAD 
DAMAGING WINDS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   47-52 (+2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   85-90 (+8)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  S 13 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    S  6         S 19 G33     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.34         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            32                        33           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   46-51 (+2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   85-90 (+9)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 S 16 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  9 G20     S 20 G35     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.27         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            19                        17           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110900-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   45-50 (+2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   85-90 (+11)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  S 19 G40     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S 13 G26     S 23 G43     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.46         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S 46         
DISPERSION            18                        20           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 
TO 30 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   47-52 (+2)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   84-89 (+9)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S 16 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S 11 G22     S 20 G35     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.55         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 43         
DISPERSION            32                        39           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   46-51 (+2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   87-92 (+12)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  8 G17     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.47         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 40         
DISPERSION            27                        31           
MAX LVORI             3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 
MPH OR LESS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   48-53 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    83-88 (+7)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  S 11 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    S  6         S 18 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.39         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            39                        48           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S 
TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   48-53 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   88-93 (+13)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  S 15 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G18     S 19 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.60         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     S 44         
DISPERSION            52                        65           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
600 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 /500 AM CST TUE FEB 10 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   49-54 (+3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    87-92 (+13)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S 10 G20     S 17 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.63         
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S 40         
DISPERSION            51                        65           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$





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