
517 
FNUS54 KMRX 092015
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY AND TUESDAY BRINGING UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. A 
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS ON WEDNESDAY COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH 
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   62-67 (-1)   45-50        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-13)  41-46 (-3)   80-85        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  S 16 G34     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    S  8 G17     SW 22 G40    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.32         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     SW 41        
DISPERSION                         66                        78           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   59-64 (-3)   41-46        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    44-49 (0)    90-95        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  S 16 G34     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     S 10 G17     S  9 G20     SW 21 G40    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.23         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 45        
DISPERSION                         36                        58           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   58-63 (-6)   42-47        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   44-49 (+5)   86-91        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G24                  S 21 G42     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     S 13 G23     S 12 G26     SW 22 G44    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.40         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     S 53         
DISPERSION                         39                        61           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    65-70 (-1)   47-52        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   38-43 (-2)   77-82        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  S 21 G44     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     S 13 G23     S 13 G28     SW 21 G45    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.45         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      S 49         
DISPERSION                         62                        94           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   65-70 (0)    46-51        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   35-40 (-5)   79-84        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  S 17 G36     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 11 G20     S 10 G23     SW 18 G37    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.38         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      S 46         
DISPERSION                         51                        81           
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    63-68 (-3)   44-49        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   40-45 (-3)   89-94        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    S  6         SW 19 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.36         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     S 40         
DISPERSION                         70                        96           

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   63-68 (-5)   48-53        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   43-48 (0)    82-87        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  S 19 G39     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    S  8 G19     SW 20 G40    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.55         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     S 47         
DISPERSION                         96                        121          

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
315 PM EST MON FEB 9 2009 /215 PM CST MON FEB 9 2009/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   63-68 (-6)   49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  44-49 (+2)   83-88        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  S 21 G42     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     S 11 G20     S 11 G25     SW 20 G45    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.58         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     S 45         
DISPERSION                         94                        122          

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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