
234 
FNUS54 KMRX 071000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION EARLY TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD HEAVY 
RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING EARLY TODAY. THE CHANCES OF 
RAIN WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE 
AREA. BY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE 
REGION...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS 
MAINLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...AND SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  26-31 (-15)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-16)  87-92 (-10)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G23                 W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 14 G27     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.12         0.02         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 35         
DISPERSION            100                       66           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
16 TO 23. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   24-29 (-20)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-21)  85-90 (-12)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G22                 W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W 16 G28     W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.06         0.02         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 38         
DISPERSION            80                        48           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 23. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-081030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   25-30 (-19)  34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-28)  85-90 (-12)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G28                 W 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     W 13 G27     W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.06         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 30         
DISPERSION            60                        34           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
15 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
25 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-081030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  28-33 (-16)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-25)  86-91 (-11)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G27                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G27     W  9 G23     NW  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      W 25         
DISPERSION            75                        48           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-081030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  27-32 (-18)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-30)  85-90 (-12)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W  9 G23     NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      W 30         
DISPERSION            76                        53           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS
COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
18 TO 23. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  28-33 (-17)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-20)  85-90 (-12)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G19                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 13 G24     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.09         0.02         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 30         
DISPERSION            115                       72           

REMARKS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1 INCH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 24.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  28-33 (-14)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-17)  85-90 (-12)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W  9 G21     W  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      W 26         
DISPERSION            104                       69           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 25.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
500 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009 /400 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  30-35 (-11)  42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-18)  87-92 (-9)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G22                  W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  8 G18     NW  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      W 26         
DISPERSION            105                       72           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$










