
419 
FNUS54 KMRX 061953
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING. THE CHANCES OF RAIN WILL DECREASE ON 
WEDNESDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVED INTO THE AREA. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO 
THURSDAY...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION...WITH SOME LIGHT 
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF 
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   42-47 (-11)  26-31        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-17)  78-83        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 W 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     W 13 G26     W 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.28         0.17         0.13         0.03         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         61                        49           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 22. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 18 TO 25. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   44-49 (-8)   24-29        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-21)  78-83        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 W 18 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G27     W 14 G29     W 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.67         0.16         0.12         0.04         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 32         
DISPERSION                         45                        39           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    44-49 (-8)   24-29        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-25)  78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G23                  W 14 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G26     W 13 G27     W 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.65         0.09         0.11         0.02         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         34                        30           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   45-50 (-11)  27-32        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (-20)  78-83        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     W 11 G22     NW  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.64         0.07         0.04         0.00         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         43                        44           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   45-50 (-11)  26-31        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (-20)  79-84        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G20     W 14 G23     W 11 G21     NW 11 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.77         0.08         0.03         0.00         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         46                        52           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   45-50 (-10)  28-33        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-20)  78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G24     W 11 G22     W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.48         0.14         0.12         0.02         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         71                        61           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   43-48 (-12)  27-32        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-16)  78-83        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G22     W 10 G20     W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.20         0.07         0.08         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         64                        60           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
253 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009 /153 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   42-47 (-15)  29-34        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (-18)  80-85        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G21     W 11 G21     NW  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.26         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         66                        64           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS
COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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