
526 
FNUS54 KMRX 050930
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...AND BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE DEEP SOUTH BY TONIGHT. A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN STRENGTHEN OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...SPREADING RAINFALL OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. 
SOME OF THIS RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY 
NIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE 
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   37-42 (-8)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   93-98 (-4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.64         1.12         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      800          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            0                         0              

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   39-44 (-7)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   93-98 (-4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.90         0.94         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      900          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            0                         0              

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-060900-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   43-48 (-4)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  93-98 (-4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         1.37         0.91         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      1000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            0                         0              

REMARKS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST 
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-060900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   44-49 (-5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   93-98 (-4)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         1.52         0.84         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      900          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            1                         0             

REMARKS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-060900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   44-49 (-4)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   93-98 (-4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         1.33         0.66         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      900          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            0                         0              

REMARKS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   40-45 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   93-98 (-4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.87         1.14         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      800          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            1                         0             

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-8)   41-46 (-7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+1)   95-100 (-3)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         1.12         1.50         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      800          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            3                         0             

REMARKS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060900-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
600 AM EST MON JAN 5 2009 /500 AM CST MON JAN 5 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   44-49 (-6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   95-100 (-2)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        SW  7 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         1.73         1.35         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1600                      900          
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            4                         1            

REMARKS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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