The featured image has been shown since the mid summer highlighting Des Moines probability of 2012 being the warmest year on record. The red line is 2012 and the blue line is the warmest year on record (1931). If we consider all previous years as scenarios to finish out this year, then roughly 89% of the previous years would put 2012 in the warmest spot to end the year. The chart would indicate that we should still have the lead going into December, but our margin may be much closer than it is now. The forecast to start November keeps us around average.

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