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775 
FNUS73 KDMX 251149
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Union Hills...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
649 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies expected today. Winds should be 10 kts or less.
Combined with above normal fuel moisture and below normal ERCs,
fire weather conditions not favorable for fires becoming out of
control.

A few light showers are possible on Thursday. A boundary
will move through the state on Thursday and will lead to the wind
becoming breezy and from the northwest during the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 62. 
Min humidity........35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 9 mph. 
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. 
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Weather cov.....                                            
Weather type....                                            
Tstm cov........                                            
Temp............40  42  45  49  52  55  58  60  61  62  62  
RH..............77  73  68  61  53  46  40  37  36  35  35  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10                  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.6 2.9 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.0 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   6   
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). 
Min temperature.....Around 39. 
Max humidity........76 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 7 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing height.......3000-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1600 ft AGL 
                    in the late evening and overnight. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 6 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........1      1      1      5      13     22     
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............61     56     50     46     45     42     
RH..............36     41     50     55     58     65     
20 ft wind......NW 7   NW 5   W 3    SW 3   SW 6   SW 7   
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   3000   300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 3   W 2    SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5      

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....Around 62. 
Min humidity........42 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 
                    18 mph with gusts to around 29 mph early in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4900-6000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph increasing to northwest 
                    17 to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. 
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........28        33        55        71        
Weather cov.....                              S CHC     
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RAIN      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............39        51        62        61        
RH..............76        56        43        45        
20 FT wind......SW 7      SW 9G12   W 13G17   NW 17G25  
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1900      4900      6000      
Transport wind..SW 5      SW 14     W 18      NW 23     
Haines index....5         4         4         3         

$$
Forecaster...Kotenberg
Requested by...Scott Affeldt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807745.0/DMX
.EMAIL Scott_Affeldt@fws.gov
155 
FNUS73 KDMX 251149
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Eagle Flats...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
649 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies expected today. Winds should be 10 kts or less.
Combined with above normal fuel moisture and below normal ERCs,
fire weather conditions not favorable for fires becoming out of
control.

A few light showers are possible on
Thursday. A boundary will move through the state on Thursday and
will lead to the wind becoming breezy and from the northwest
during the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 61. 
Min humidity........35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 9 mph. 
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph. 
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........8   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Weather cov.....                                            
Weather type....                                            
Tstm cov........                                            
Temp............39  40  44  47  50  54  57  58  59  60  61  
RH..............81  79  70  65  56  48  42  40  39  37  36  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10                                  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.6 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.0 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). 
Min temperature.....Around 37. 
Max humidity........79 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing height.......3100-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1700 ft AGL 
                    in the late evening and overnight. 
Transport winds.....South 2 to 6 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........1      0      1      7      15     23     
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............61     56     48     44     42     40     
RH..............35     40     54     60     65     67     
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 3   W 3    SW 3   S 5    S 6    
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   3100   300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 3   W 2    SW 3   S 5    S 6    
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5      

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming 
                    partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....Around 59. 
Min humidity........45 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 15 mph shifting to the 
                    north 16 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph 
                    late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 5100-5700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 14 mph increasing to north 17 to 
                    26 mph late in the morning. 
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........28        35        58        70        
Weather cov.....                              S CHC     
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RAIN      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............37        49        59        58        
RH..............79        58        47        49        
20 FT wind......S 6       W 9G12    NW 13G18  NW 16G26  
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1500      3600      5100      
Transport wind..S 6       SW 10     NW 20     N 24      
Haines index....5         4         4         3         

$$
Forecaster...Kotenberg
Requested by...Scott Affeldt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807743.0/DMX
.EMAIL Scott_Affeldt@fws.gov