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167 
FNUS73 KDMX 251148
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Hanlontown Slough Unit 3...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
648 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies expected today. Winds should be 10 kts or less.
Combined with above normal fuel moisture and below normal ERCs,
fire weather conditions not favorable for fires becoming out of
control.

A few light showers are possible on Thursday. A boundary will 
move through the state on Thursday and will lead to the wind 
becoming breezy and from the northwest during the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 61. 
Min humidity........35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph. 
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4600-5300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph. 
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
Weather cov.....                                            
Weather type....                                            
Tstm cov........                                            
Temp............39  40  44  48  51  54  57  58  59  60  61  
RH..............76  73  68  60  53  47  42  39  37  36  35  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   
20 FT wind gust.                                            
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.6 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.0 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   6   5   5   
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). 
Min temperature.....Around 37. 
Max humidity........79 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening 
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 6 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing height.......3100-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1700 ft AGL 
                    in the late evening and overnight. 
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph. 
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or high potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........1      1      1      6      15     23     
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............61     56     48     44     43     41     
RH..............35     40     54     60     62     65     
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 3   W 3    SW 2   SW 5   SW 5   
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   3100   300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 5   W 3    SW 5   SW 5   S 6    
Haines index....6      6      5      5      5      5      

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....Around 60. 
Min humidity........43 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 14 mph increasing to 15 to 
                    17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph early in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4900-6000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph increasing to northwest 15 
                    to 24 mph in the late morning and early 
                    afternoon, then shifting to the north 25 to 26 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........28        35        58        72        
Weather cov.....                              S CHC     
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RAIN      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............37        50        60        59        
RH..............79        56        44        45        
20 FT wind......SW 5      W 8G10    NW 13G17  NW 16G25  
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1900      3800      5500      
Transport wind..S 5       SW 15     NW 20     N 24      
Haines index....5         4         4         3         

$$
Forecaster...Kotenberg
Requested by...Scott Affeldt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807748.0/DMX
.EMAIL Scott_Affeldt@fws.gov