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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSDMX Received: 2018-04-25 11:45 UTC
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FNUS73 KDMX 251145
FWSDMX
Spot Forecast for Hogsback...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
645 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.
Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies expected today. Winds should be 10 kts or less.
Combined with above normal fuel moisture and below normal ERCs,
fire weather conditions not favorable for fires becoming out of
control.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4500-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth or high potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38 40 43 47 50 53 56 57 59 59 60
RH..............76 73 67 60 53 47 42 40 37 37 36
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N NW
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5
Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light, then becoming southwest
around 5 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......3000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1600 ft AGL
in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........1 0 1 10 19 23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............60 55 47 44 42 39
RH..............36 41 56 60 62 70
20 ft wind......NW 5 W 3 SW 3 SW 3 S 5 SW 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....4500 3000 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..NW 5 W 5 W 3 SW 5 S 6 S 6
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 15 mph shifting to the
north 16 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4700-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph increasing to northwest
15 to 24 mph in the late morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the north 25 to 26
mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth or moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........28 36 61 71
Weather cov..... S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RAIN
Tstm cov........
Temp............37 48 58 57
RH..............75 58 47 47
20 FT wind......S 6 W 9G12 NW 13G18 NW 16G26
Mix hgt (ft)....300 1400 3500 5000
Transport wind..S 5 SW 12 NW 21 N 25
Haines index....5 4 4 3
$$
Forecaster...Kotenberg
Requested by...Dan Paulson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807758.0/DMX
.EMAIL Daniel_Paulson@fws.gov